| 沈永伟.基于Gompertz的气象水文装备维修器材消耗量分析与预测[J].装备环境工程,2011,8(2):97-99. SHEN Yong-wei.Analysis and Forecast of Maintenance Materials and Parts of Meteorological and Hydrological Equipment Consumption Based on Gompertz Curve[J].Equipment Environmental Engineering,2011,8(2):97-99. |
| 基于Gompertz的气象水文装备维修器材消耗量分析与预测 |
| Analysis and Forecast of Maintenance Materials and Parts of Meteorological and Hydrological Equipment Consumption Based on Gompertz Curve |
| 投稿时间：2010-11-24 修订日期：2011-04-15 |
| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: Gompertz曲线 气象水文装备维修器材 消耗量 |
| 英文关键词:Gompertz curve maintenance materials and parts of meteorological and hydrological equipment consumption |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 利用由Gompertz曲线推导出的生命周期曲线建立了气象水文装备维修器材消耗-时间模型。计算表明， 由Gompertz曲线推导出的生命周期曲线可以较好地反映气象水文装备维修器材消耗量与时间之间的关系， 所建模型的预测结果也较好， 具有较高的实用性， 为探索气象水文装备维修器材消耗规律提供了一种简单有效的科学方法。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| Maintenance materials and parts consumption-time model of meteorological and hydrological equipment was established using the life cycle curve deducted from Gompertz curve. Computation results showed that the life cycle curve can better reflect the relationship between maintenance materials and parts consumption of meteorological and hydrological equipment and time; the forecasting results obtained from the model are preferable; the model has higher practicability. The purpose was to provide a valid and scientific approach for investigating consumption rule of maintenance materials and parts of meteorological and hydrological equipment. |
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