DGM Prediction Model of Quality Cost Based on Practical Weakening Buffer Operator
Received:May 11, 2018  Revised:July 25, 2018
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DOI:10.7643/ issn.1672-9242.2018.07.001
KeyWord:quality cost  discrete grey model  weakening buffer operator  cost forecasting  exponential model
        
AuthorInstitution
WANG Jing College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing , China
DONG Wen-jie College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing , China
FANG Zhi-geng College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing , China
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Abstract:
      Objective To predict the quality cost with grey discrete model based on weakening buffer operator. Methods The integral function was used to remove the uncertainty of interval data, and transform it into an unbiased real number. By analyzing the correlation between quality cost and related factors and introducing the second-order weakening buffer operator to deal with the interference cost series, the discrete grey model was finally established to estimate the quality cost. Results Compared with cases and commonly used exponential function, the result showed that the simulation precision of DGM for quality cost was high. The simulation error might be reduced from 1.689% of exponential model to 0.118%. Conclusion This model can be used to effectively change the prediction accuracy. It has certain practicability and rationality.
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