|
| Fault Forecast of Air Materiel Spare Parts Based on Commonsurable Method |
| Received:June 13, 2012 Revised:October 15, 2012 |
| View Full Text View/Add Comment Download reader |
| DOI： |
| KeyWord:commonsurable information time window fault forecast |
| Author | Institution |
| ZHANG Zuo-gang |
Qingdao Branch of Naval Aeronautical Engineering Academy，Qingdao ，China |
| ZHAO Ming |
Qingdao Branch of Naval Aeronautical Engineering Academy，Qingdao ，China |
|
| Hits: |
| Download times: |
| Abstract: |
| The concept of commensurability and the prediction theory of commonsurable information were introduced. The fault forecast of air materiel spare parts was studied with the object of the time window of faults based on the prediction theory of commonsurable information. A practical prediction model was established and the scientificity and validity of the model was verified with calculation examples. Commensurability prediction model was compared with exponential smoothing model. The result showed that commensurability prediction model is of higher precision and the calculation model is simpler. The purpose was to provide a feasible method for the fault prediction of air materiel spare parts. |
| Close |