Study on Constructing Cost-loss Ratio Decision Protection Model of Ships from Typhoons
Received:November 18, 2013  Revised:December 28, 2013
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DOI:10.7643/issn.1672-9242.2014.02.015
KeyWord:ship protection from typhoon  optima decision model  cost-loss ratio
     
AuthorInstitution
LIU Yong-lu Department of Military Oceanography,Dalian Naval Academy,Dalian,China
ZHOU Li-jia Department of Military Oceanography,Dalian Naval Academy,Dalian,China
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Abstract:
      ObjectiveUsing the weather forecast, the decision-makers need several hours lead time to decide whether to evacuate to an alternative operation location before the typhoon hits. Typhoons will cause significant and costly damage to ships because of lacking of a quantum protection model. An optimal decision model was proposed in this paper to help the ship protection and to save the cost.MethodCost-loss ratio analysis was used.ResultA Typhoon protection optimal decision model was deduced and the data was analyzed.ConclusionThe weather uncertainty should be considered in making protection decision.
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