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Study on Constructing Cost-loss Ratio Decision Protection Model of Ships from Typhoons |
Received:November 18, 2013 Revised:December 28, 2013 |
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DOI:10.7643/issn.1672-9242.2014.02.015 |
KeyWord:ship protection from typhoon optima decision model cost-loss ratio |
Author | Institution |
LIU Yong-lu |
Department of Military Oceanography,Dalian Naval Academy,Dalian,China |
ZHOU Li-jia |
Department of Military Oceanography,Dalian Naval Academy,Dalian,China |
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Abstract: |
ObjectiveUsing the weather forecast, the decision-makers need several hours lead time to decide whether to evacuate to an alternative operation location before the typhoon hits. Typhoons will cause significant and costly damage to ships because of lacking of a quantum protection model. An optimal decision model was proposed in this paper to help the ship protection and to save the cost.MethodCost-loss ratio analysis was used.ResultA Typhoon protection optimal decision model was deduced and the data was analyzed.ConclusionThe weather uncertainty should be considered in making protection decision. |
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