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Risk and Cost Analysis of Firing Test Program for A missile |
Received:December 12, 2017 Revised:April 15, 2018 |
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DOI:10.7643/ issn.1672-9242.2018.04.018 |
KeyWord:firing test sampling inspection producer′s risk consumer′s risk |
Author | Institution |
LI Gen-cheng |
China Airborne Missile Academy, Luoyang , China |
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Abstract: |
Objective To study consumer's risk and producer's risk in the traditional twice sampling inspection firing test program and the new single sampling inspection firing test program recommended by the consumer, and calculates the expense difference between the two firing test programs when the missiles are accepted by the consumer. Methods The relation between the missile’s self-flying reliability and the single killing probability was established firstly, then the consumer's risk and producer's risk were acquired through calculating the acceptance probability in the sampling inspection. The expense allocated to each missile afforded by the consumer using the different firing test program was acquired through calculating the acceptance probability with the different reliability and the firing test cost. Results The producer's risk was approximately equal to the consumer's risk in the traditional firing test program, but the producer's risk was much higher than the consumer's risk in the new firing test program, and the allocated expense on a missile afforded by the consumer using the new firing test program was higher than that when using the traditional firing test program. Conclusion Finally, it is suggested to adopts the traditional twice sampling inspection program. |
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